Tax reform, growth and jobs

This blog presents preliminary estimates of the economic effects of a base-broadening, rate-reducing tax reform, similar to that outlined in the paper noted above, using the Tax Policy Advisers model — a model developed by John Diamond, the Baker Institute Edward A. and Hermena Hancock Kelly Fellow in Public Finance, and George Zodrow. The simulations show that such a base-broadening, rate-reducing reform would have significant positive economic effects on the U.S. economy, including increases in investment, the capital stock, employment, and real wages. Specifically, I find that the reform would, if passed immediately, increase GDP relative to the baseline by 5.0 percent over the next decade, while creating 5.9 million jobs. Continue Reading

President Reagan’s tax legacy 25 years later

Twenty-five years ago this week, President Ronald Reagan signed into law the Tax Reform Act of 1986, the last major effort to update the U.S. income tax system.

The legislation, also known as TRA86, lowered individual taxpayer rates by closing corporate loopholes and reflected more than two years of negotiations by Reagan, a Republican, with a Democratic-controlled House of Representatives.

“When I sign this bill into law, America will have the lowest marginal tax rates and the most modern tax code among major industrialized nations, one that encourages risk-taking, innovation and that old American spirit of enterprise,” Reagan said at the time. Continue Reading