An analysis of voter support for City of Pasadena Proposition 1: November 2013

The Supreme Court’s decision last June in Shelby County v. Holder struck down a section of the Voting Rights Act of 1965 that required nine states, including Texas, to obtain federal approval before making any changes in state and local election laws. The city of Pasadena, Texas, lost no time in placing on November’s ballot a proposal to adopt a mixed plan of single-member and at-large representation for its city council. The ballot initiative, Proposition 1, called for the replacement of two single-member district council seats with two at-large seats. Opponents of the proposition claimed that this change would significantly harm the ability of Hispanic voters to elect candidates of their choice. Continue Reading

Weatherproofing our elections: There ought to be a law — and there is

Everyone complains about the weather, but few do anything about it. This may not be true for local election officials’ response to the challenges Hurricane Sandy posed in conducting the 2012 election. Researchers have consistently found that inclement weather on and before Election Day has had a significant and negative effect on voter turnout; this was no less true in jurisdictions most adversely affected by Hurricane Sandy last fall. In a report prepared for the Presidential Commission on Election Administration, I found voter turnout declined 2.8 percent between 2008 and 2012 in counties most impacted by the storm. This effect persists when controlling for a host of factors specific to the 2012 election, individual counties and their respective states. Continue Reading