Egypt and the Middle East: What next?

Egypt today stands at a critical juncture as violence escalates between supporters of the ousted Muslim Brotherhood and the security services. Reports that former President Hosni Mubarak may soon be released from imprisonment demonstrate how the “Arab Spring” has come full circle in the Arab world’s most populous state. Just as the uprising that ousted Mubarak from power galvanized demonstrators across the region, so the reinstatement of military rule sends a clear message about the embedded power of counter-revolutionary forces to resist the pressures that swept the region in 2011. Caught in the middle are the “old guard” of powerbrokers in the United States and the European Union, unsure of how to respond even as newer actors seize the initiative to reshape regional politics. Continue Reading

Egypt and the Gulf: The illusion of stability?

In the second of a seven-part Baker Institute Viewpoints series, we evaluate the impact that a new wave of civil unrest will have on international politics.

The continuing political turmoil in Egypt brings into sharp relief the relative stability in the Persian Gulf states as they prepare to play a key role in extending financial assistance to Egypt’s new rulers. The six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states have survived the regional upheaval more or less intact and face a far less pessimistic situation, at least in the short term. Continue Reading