This blog presents preliminary estimates of the economic effects of a base-broadening, rate-reducing tax reform, similar to that outlined in the paper noted above, using the Tax Policy Advisers model — a model developed by John Diamond, the Baker Institute Edward A. and Hermena Hancock Kelly Fellow in Public Finance, and George Zodrow. The simulations show that such a base-broadening, rate-reducing reform would have significant positive economic effects on the U.S. economy, including increases in investment, the capital stock, employment, and real wages. Specifically, I find that the reform would, if passed immediately, increase GDP relative to the baseline by 5.0 percent over the next decade, while creating 5.9 million jobs. Continue Reading →